Cerrito vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
42.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
DAN
1 - 0
CSC
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CSC
0 - 0
RIV
42%
25%
33%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
BVS
0 - 1
CSC
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
CSC
0 - 1
ETS
70%
19%
12%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
DEF
1 - 1
CSC
59%
23%
19%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
BVS
1 - 0
NAC
19%
26%
55%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 2
UCH
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
NAC
4 - 0
CEL
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
UCH
1 - 0
NAC
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
DAN
1 - 1
NAC
34%
26%
40%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |