Cerezo Osaka vs Vegalta Sendai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
20.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
CER
7 - 1
AVI
81%
13%
6%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
KAR
1 - 1
CER
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
CER
0 - 3
VIS
66%
19%
15%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
CER
3 - 0
FAG
85%
11%
5%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
NAG
3 - 1
CER
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vegalta Sendai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
VEG
2 - 0
VIS
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
GAM
1 - 0
VEG
67%
19%
13%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
URA
0 - 0
VEG
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
VEG
3 - 1
AVI
65%
22%
14%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
VEG
0 - 0
SAN
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |