Cerezo Osaka vs Sagan Tosu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
19.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
CER
1 - 2
SAN
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
CON
2 - 1
CER
34%
26%
41%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CER
0 - 3
SAN
43%
26%
31%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
KAW
2 - 2
CER
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
CER
3 - 0
VIS
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sagan Tosu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
GAM
0 - 3
SAG
46%
26%
29%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
KAW
4 - 0
SAG
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
SAG
1 - 1
AVI
48%
27%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CON
1 - 2
SAG
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
SAG
0 - 0
NAG
38%
28%
35%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |