AFC Champions Grupo J. Jor. 5

Cerezo Osaka vs Guangzhou FC analysis

Cerezo Osaka Guangzhou FC
83 ELO 80
-15.4% Tilt -6.2%
287º General ELO ranking 3500º
Country ELO ranking 25º
ELO win probability
39.8%
Cerezo Osaka
25.8%
Draw
34.4%
Guangzhou FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
Cerezo Osaka
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34.4%
Win probability
Guangzhou FC
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cerezo Osaka
-1%
-18%
Guangzhou FC

ELO progression

Cerezo Osaka
Guangzhou FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cerezo Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Jul. 2021
SIN
Port FC
0 - 3
Cerezo Osaka
CER
21%
23%
55%
83 61 22 0
30 Jun. 2021
CER
Cerezo Osaka
1 - 1
Port FC
SIN
69%
20%
11%
83 61 22 0
27 Jun. 2021
CER
Cerezo Osaka
2 - 1
Kitchee FC
KFC
59%
23%
18%
83 67 16 0
24 Jun. 2021
GUA
Guangzhou FC
0 - 2
Cerezo Osaka
CER
46%
25%
29%
82 83 1 +1
09 Jun. 2021
CER
Cerezo Osaka
2 - 0
Gainare Tottori
GAI
77%
17%
7%
82 52 30 0

Matches

Guangzhou FC
Guangzhou FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Jul. 2021
KFC
Kitchee FC
1 - 0
Guangzhou FC
GUA
25%
22%
52%
81 68 13 0
30 Jun. 2021
GUA
Guangzhou FC
0 - 1
Kitchee FC
KFC
70%
18%
12%
81 67 14 0
27 Jun. 2021
SIN
Port FC
3 - 0
Guangzhou FC
GUA
15%
19%
66%
82 59 23 -1
24 Jun. 2021
GUA
Guangzhou FC
0 - 2
Cerezo Osaka
CER
46%
25%
29%
83 82 1 -1
09 May. 2021
SHI
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
0 - 2
Guangzhou FC
GUA
13%
20%
67%
82 63 19 +1
X