Céres vs Carapebus EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Céres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
GOY
1 - 0
CER
61%
22%
16%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RDJ
1 - 0
CER
36%
22%
42%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
CER
3 - 2
BAR
27%
26%
47%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
CER
0 - 1
BEL
70%
18%
13%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
MAG
0 - 1
CER
19%
19%
62%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Carapebus EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CEC
1 - 4
BEL
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
MAG
1 - 3
CEC
22%
20%
58%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
CEC
1 - 0
BON
27%
26%
47%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
GOY
2 - 0
CEC
67%
21%
13%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CEC
2 - 1
CAA
43%
23%
34%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |