Cerea vs Pistoiese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
50.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 2
CER
30%
24%
46%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
CER
3 - 0
VIR
45%
25%
31%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 2
CER
67%
20%
14%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
PIS
0 - 1
ACE
66%
22%
13%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SCA
1 - 1
PIS
19%
27%
55%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
PIS
1 - 1
RAV
30%
28%
42%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
PIS
2 - 1
FOL
31%
29%
40%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
PES
2 - 0
PIS
56%
25%
19%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |