Cerea vs Giorgione analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
16.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
TAM
1 - 2
CER
65%
19%
16%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
CER
3 - 2
SAN
30%
25%
45%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
ACS
1 - 2
CER
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CER
2 - 2
ACD
32%
24%
44%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 1
CER
66%
19%
15%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Giorgione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
GIO
1 - 1
BEL
30%
24%
46%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
TAM
1 - 0
GIO
72%
17%
11%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
GIO
1 - 3
UNI
57%
22%
21%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
GIO
0 - 1
ACS
28%
24%
47%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
DEL
0 - 0
GIO
75%
16%
9%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |