Centre of Excellence vs Canberra FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.6%
59.9%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
5.3%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centre of Excellence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
MON
3 - 1
COE
14%
17%
68%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
COE
2 - 3
CUA
87%
9%
4%
|
31 | 12 | 19 | -3 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
COE
2 - 3
CAN
35%
22%
44%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
COO
7 - 3
COE
76%
15%
9%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
COE
2 - 1
GUN
58%
20%
23%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Canberra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
CAN
2 - 3
COO
39%
23%
39%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
GUN
0 - 1
CAN
18%
18%
64%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CAN
2 - 0
WOD
87%
9%
4%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
TUG
2 - 2
CAN
5%
11%
84%
|
39 | 11 | 28 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
BEL
0 - 1
CAN
52%
22%
27%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |