Central SC vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
40.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
CEN
1 - 1
ABC
11%
20%
68%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
UNI
0 - 0
CEN
74%
16%
10%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
CEN
1 - 3
UNI
24%
25%
51%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
ABC
2 - 0
CEN
76%
16%
8%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
SOU
0 - 0
CEN
59%
23%
18%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
CAU
1 - 0
SOU
23%
24%
53%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
SOU
0 - 2
ARN
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
ARN
4 - 1
SOU
54%
23%
22%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
SOU
7 - 0
CAU
68%
20%
12%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
SOU
0 - 0
CEN
59%
23%
18%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |