Central & Western vs Shatin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
43.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-58%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
1º
6º
1º
30
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 39 |
3º
|
79.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
79.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
79.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 35 |
6º
|
90.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
93.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
85% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
91.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 11 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 8 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central & Western
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
WON
0 - 1
CWD
22%
21%
57%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2021 |
SHA
2 - 0
CWD
47%
26%
27%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
CWD
5 - 1
YOK
83%
11%
6%
|
38 | 16 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
EAD
0 - 2
CWD
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
WON
1 - 1
CWD
25%
22%
53%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Shatin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SHA
7 - 1
KWA
69%
18%
13%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
SHA
5 - 2
WON
79%
13%
8%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
HOI
2 - 1
SHA
24%
23%
53%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
HVA
1 - 5
SHA
54%
21%
25%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
WIN
2 - 1
SHA
52%
22%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |