Central Florida vs Naples United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
46.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Florida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
CFL
3 - 2
MIA
21%
23%
56%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
MDL
0 - 5
CFL
45%
22%
33%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
CFL
4 - 2
MBC
32%
22%
46%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +2 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
NAU
3 - 1
CFL
76%
14%
10%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
MIA
1 - 0
CFL
81%
12%
7%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Naples United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
NAU
0 - 0
MDL
80%
12%
7%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2022 |
NAU
6 - 0
MFC
85%
10%
5%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
MIA
2 - 1
NAU
55%
22%
23%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
NAU
3 - 1
CFL
76%
14%
10%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
NAU
0 - 1
MIA
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |