Central Coast Mariners vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2008 |
ADE
3 - 3
CCM
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2008 |
CCM
4 - 1
PER
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
CCM
2 - 2
MEL
42%
25%
33%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
WPH
0 - 0
CCM
42%
28%
31%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
BRI
2 - 4
CCM
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2008 |
NEW
2 - 2
WPH
52%
26%
21%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
WPH
2 - 1
SYD
32%
28%
40%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
PER
1 - 0
WPH
54%
25%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
WPH
0 - 0
CCM
42%
28%
31%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
ADE
3 - 0
WPH
59%
24%
18%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |