Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2021 |
MFC
1 - 2
CCM
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
MCI
1 - 0
CCM
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
NEW
0 - 1
CCM
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
BRI
0 - 0
CCM
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 1
CCM
42%
25%
34%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 2
BRI
33%
26%
41%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
NEW
0 - 1
CCM
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 1
SYD
22%
25%
54%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
MCI
3 - 1
NEW
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
WUF
2 - 0
NEW
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |