Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
5º
2º
28
2º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2022 |
MCI
1 - 0
CCM
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
CCM
3 - 0
NEW
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CCM
2 - 1
SYD
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
CCM
1 - 2
NEW
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
CCM
2 - 3
MFC
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
WUF
1 - 0
MEL
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MFC
0 - 1
MEL
44%
26%
31%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
ADE
3 - 0
MEL
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
MEL
4 - 0
NEW
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BRI
0 - 0
MEL
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |