Centenary Stormers vs The Lakes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
75.9%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centenary Stormers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
STO
1 - 4
PIN
31%
21%
49%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
STO
1 - 2
TOO
34%
21%
45%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
MGH
1 - 1
STO
37%
23%
41%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
STO
0 - 1
UNI
57%
20%
23%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
ACA
5 - 2
STO
58%
20%
22%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
The Lakes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
TLA
4 - 1
MGH
90%
7%
3%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 4
TLA
10%
15%
76%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
TLA
0 - 0
ACA
84%
10%
6%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
MGH
0 - 1
TLA
9%
14%
77%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
TLA
5 - 5
NEW
70%
15%
14%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |