Centenary Stormers vs St George Willawong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.8%
12%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12%
81.4%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
5.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
17.8%
0-4
7.8%
1-5
3.3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.8%
0-5
4.5%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.4%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.9%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centenary Stormers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2021 |
BAY
5 - 1
STO
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
STO
0 - 3
ACA
55%
20%
25%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
ALB
5 - 1
STO
91%
7%
3%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
STO
2 - 5
TLA
12%
16%
72%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
MGH
3 - 1
STO
40%
22%
38%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
St George Willawong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2021 |
GEO
3 - 0
GAP
93%
6%
2%
|
44 | 13 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
WES
0 - 4
GEO
5%
11%
83%
|
44 | 14 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
GEO
5 - 1
UNI
89%
8%
3%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
TOO
1 - 5
GEO
30%
23%
47%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
BRK
0 - 4
GEO
11%
15%
74%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |