Centenary Stormers vs Mount Gravatt Hawks SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
38.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centenary Stormers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
GAP
0 - 0
STO
29%
21%
50%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
WES
0 - 0
STO
37%
22%
41%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
BRK
2 - 3
STO
44%
21%
35%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2021 |
STO
1 - 0
UNI
43%
21%
35%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
STO
2 - 2
TOO
16%
18%
67%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Mount Gravatt Hawks SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
MGH
2 - 2
UNI
59%
20%
21%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
GAP
2 - 1
MGH
15%
18%
67%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
MGH
2 - 2
GAP
81%
12%
7%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
WES
4 - 2
MGH
12%
17%
72%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
TOO
2 - 3
MGH
71%
16%
13%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |