Centenary Stormers vs Albany Creek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
72%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
9%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.8%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Centenary Stormers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
ALB
3 - 0
STO
86%
9%
5%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
STO
2 - 0
NOR
82%
11%
7%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
STO
6 - 3
BRK
74%
14%
12%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
STO
1 - 1
BAY
18%
19%
63%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
TAR
2 - 1
STO
80%
12%
8%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Albany Creek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
TOO
1 - 1
ALB
38%
24%
38%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
ALB
3 - 0
STO
86%
9%
5%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
ACA
0 - 3
ALB
7%
12%
81%
|
38 | 16 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
ALB
4 - 0
GRA
45%
23%
32%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
GAP
0 - 4
ALB
22%
19%
59%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |