Céltiga FC vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
33.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Céltiga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
BOU
1 - 0
CEL
58%
23%
19%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CEL
1 - 4
VIL
60%
22%
18%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ORD
0 - 3
CEL
21%
25%
54%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CEL
1 - 2
ARO
46%
24%
30%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 1
CEL
49%
24%
27%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CHO
0 - 0
RIB
46%
24%
30%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
DEP
4 - 2
CHO
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CHO
0 - 0
BAR
59%
21%
19%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
NEG
2 - 2
CHO
37%
25%
38%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CHO
2 - 1
CER
36%
26%
38%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |