Celtic vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
CEL
0 - 2
GLA
53%
22%
25%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
STJ
0 - 2
CEL
7%
17%
77%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
SAR
0 - 1
CEL
27%
24%
49%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CEL
3 - 0
HIB
77%
15%
9%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
CAR
0 - 1
CEL
26%
25%
49%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
INT
1 - 2
ACM
58%
22%
20%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
ACM
3 - 0
SPE
78%
15%
7%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
RIO
2 - 2
ACM
27%
26%
47%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CRO
0 - 2
ACM
18%
24%
59%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
ACM
3 - 2
BOG
62%
20%
18%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |