Celtic vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
19.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
81
1º
1º
1º
35
6º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
STJ
1 - 0
CEL
21%
24%
56%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
CEL
3 - 0
HOM
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
CEL
2 - 3
GLA
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
CEL
2 - 0
HIB
58%
21%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
STM
2 - 5
CEL
32%
26%
43%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
KIL
2 - 0
MHE
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
STM
5 - 1
KIL
40%
28%
32%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
KIL
1 - 1
HIB
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
ROS
1 - 0
KIL
41%
27%
33%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2025 |
KIL
2 - 4
GLA
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |