Celta vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
66.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
CEL
0 - 0
ATH
31%
25%
44%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
HUE
3 - 4
CEL
32%
25%
43%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CEL
1 - 1
VAD
53%
24%
24%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
VCF
2 - 0
CEL
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2021 |
CEL
3 - 1
ELC
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
RMA
3 - 1
ATL
65%
19%
17%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
RMA
2 - 1
ELC
87%
10%
4%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
ATM
1 - 1
RMA
32%
26%
42%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
RMA
1 - 1
RSO
67%
19%
15%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
ATL
0 - 1
RMA
35%
23%
41%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |