Celta vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.4%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.9%
5.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1975 |
CEL
2 - 0
ALA
80%
15%
5%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1975 |
UES
2 - 0
CEL
45%
30%
25%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1975 |
RJA
0 - 0
CEL
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1975 |
CEL
2 - 2
RAY
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1975 |
DEP
2 - 0
CEL
38%
32%
30%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1975 |
CPC
1 - 1
RJA
42%
32%
26%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1975 |
RJA
3 - 0
SDM
64%
22%
14%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1975 |
RJA
0 - 0
CEL
36%
27%
37%
|
49 | 74 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1975 |
CDZ
2 - 0
RJA
33%
33%
34%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | -2 |
| 23 Nov. 1975 |
RJA
2 - 0
LIN
62%
25%
14%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |