Copa del Rey . Last 16
Global 3-2
Celta vs Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
MLL
2 - 4
CEL
52%
24%
24%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2004 |
MAL
0 - 1
CEL
48%
26%
26%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
CEL
0 - 5
DEP
37%
26%
38%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
FCB
1 - 1
CEL
68%
19%
13%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2003 |
CEL
3 - 1
ESP
63%
22%
15%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
BET
3 - 0
MAL
49%
26%
25%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2004 |
MAL
0 - 1
CEL
48%
26%
26%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
MAL
1 - 2
RSO
46%
25%
29%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
MUR
1 - 2
MAL
34%
28%
38%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
XER
0 - 1
MAL
30%
28%
42%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | +1 |