Copa del Rey . 1/16
Global 2-5
Celta vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
34.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
ALB
1 - 1
CEL
36%
28%
36%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
CEL
2 - 2
ALI
75%
18%
7%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
ELC
1 - 1
CEL
34%
28%
38%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2008 |
CEL
2 - 0
RSO
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
HUE
0 - 0
CEL
23%
28%
49%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
MLL
3 - 0
ESP
56%
24%
20%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
ESP
0 - 0
VIL
33%
27%
40%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
RMA
2 - 2
ESP
80%
13%
7%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
ESP
1 - 2
FCB
26%
25%
50%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
SEV
2 - 0
ESP
73%
17%
10%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |