noscript image

La Liga. Matchday 13

Celta vs Barcelona analysis

Celta Barcelona
77 ELO 94
-17% Tilt 16%
99º General ELO ranking
11º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
17%
Celta
22.3%
Draw
60.7%
Barcelona

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
Celta
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
60.7%
Win probability
Barcelona
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Celta
-37%
-18%
Barcelona

Points and table prediction

Celta
Their league position
Barcelona
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
13º
19º
14º
15
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
R. Sociedad
20
64
7%
Osasuna
18
60
8%
Real Madrid
17
91
1%
Sevilla
17
67
7%
Atlético
17
71
9%
Rayo Vallecano
16
58
6%
Athletic
16
53
11º
6%
Barcelona
15
75
4%
Real Betis
15
61
5%
Valencia
10º
13
64
5%
Espanyol
11º
13
42
13º
5%
Mallorca
12º
12
38
15º
6%
Villarreal
13º
11
55
10º
5%
Elche
14º
10
35
17º
6%
Celta
15º
7
40
14º
6%
Granada
16º
7
43
12º
7%
Cádiz
17º
7
36
16º
6%
Alavés
18º
6
23
20º
8%
Levante
19º
5
35
18º
8%
Getafe
20º
2
25
19º
9%
Expected probabilities
Celta
Barcelona
Champion
0% 35%
Champions League
10% 31%
Europa League
4% 7%
Europa Conference League
4% 4%
Mid-table
61% 22%
Relegation
21% 2%

ELO progression

Barcelona
FCB
Celta
CEL
Espanyol
ESP
Villarreal
VIL
Getafe
GET
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Celta
Celta
1%
X%
2%
ELO CEL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Oct. 2021
CEL
Celta
0 - 1
Sevilla
SEV
33%
28%
39%
2312 3005 -693 -8
03 Oct. 2021
ELC
Elche
1 - 0
Celta
CEL
35%
27%
38%
2329 1628 -701 -17
27 Sep. 2021
CEL
Celta
1 - 0
Granada
GRA
51%
25%
24%
2320 2170 150 +10
21 Sep. 2021
LEV
Levante
0 - 2
Celta
CEL
46%
27%
27%
2301 2150 -151 +19
17 Sep. 2021
CEL
Celta
1 - 2
Cádiz
CAD
60%
22%
18%
2318 1937 381 -17

Matches

Barcelona
Barcelona
1%
X%
2%
ELO FCB ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Oct. 2021
FCB
Barcelona
1 - 0
Dinamo Kiev
DYN
84%
11%
5%
3492 1876 1616 +6
17 Oct. 2021
FCB
Barcelona
3 - 1
Valencia
VCF
73%
18%
10%
3483 2661 822 +7
13 Oct. 2021
FCB
Barcelona
2 - 2
Cornellà
COR
74%
15%
11%
3507 558 2949 -25
02 Oct. 2021
ATM
Atlético
2 - 0
Barcelona
FCB
46%
27%
27%
3526 3264 -262 -19
29 Sep. 2021
SLB
Benfica
3 - 0
Barcelona
FCB
42%
27%
31%
3575 3187 -388 -46