Copa del Rey . Last 16
Global 1-6
Celta vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
66%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 3
CEL
32%
25%
44%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
CEL
0 - 1
VIL
53%
24%
23%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
VCF
2 - 1
CEL
61%
21%
19%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
FCB
2 - 2
CEL
91%
7%
3%
|
87 | 95 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2017 |
CEL
1 - 0
EIB
56%
23%
21%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
RMA
0 - 3
FCB
44%
22%
33%
|
95 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
FCB
4 - 0
DEP
95%
4%
1%
|
95 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 2
FCB
12%
18%
70%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2017 |
FCB
2 - 0
SCP
87%
8%
4%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
FCB
2 - 2
CEL
91%
7%
3%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |