Celta Fortuna vs UB Conquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
CPC
2 - 0
CEL
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CEL
2 - 0
CER
72%
18%
11%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
DEP
1 - 0
CEL
28%
25%
47%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
CEL
0 - 1
PON
52%
25%
24%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
EXT
1 - 2
CEL
22%
24%
54%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
UBC
1 - 1
ULP
34%
27%
39%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
COX
3 - 1
UBC
41%
27%
33%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
UBC
2 - 2
RMC
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
RVB
3 - 1
UBC
38%
28%
34%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
UBC
2 - 3
CDB
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |