Celta Fortuna vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
61%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
17.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.8%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
UPL
1 - 0
CEL
33%
26%
41%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
CEL
1 - 1
LEA
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
CEL
2 - 0
MAR
61%
22%
18%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
COX
0 - 2
CEL
54%
24%
22%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
RCF
4 - 0
CEL
69%
18%
13%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 0
RCF
72%
19%
9%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2015 |
MUR
0 - 0
SGD
43%
26%
32%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
UDL
1 - 0
MUR
14%
26%
61%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
VAL
0 - 1
MUR
16%
25%
59%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 1
CDG
74%
18%
8%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |