Celaya vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
49.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
PAC
0 - 2
TOR
72%
18%
11%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
TOR
1 - 0
MON
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
TIG
6 - 1
TOR
68%
20%
13%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
TOR
1 - 1
AUR
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
EST
3 - 2
TOR
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
MON
3 - 1
TOL
38%
25%
37%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
TOL
1 - 1
AUR
77%
14%
9%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
PUM
1 - 4
TOL
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
TOL
4 - 1
MOR
55%
21%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
ATL
2 - 3
TOL
40%
25%
34%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |