Celaya vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
37.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CAF
2 - 0
TOR
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
TOR
1 - 0
ATL
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
UAT
1 - 1
TOR
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
TOR
2 - 3
CIM
37%
27%
36%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
UAP
1 - 1
TOR
44%
27%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
ALE
1 - 0
AUR
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
MER
1 - 1
ALE
35%
27%
39%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ALE
2 - 0
TAM
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
ZAC
2 - 1
ALE
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
ALE
1 - 0
DOR
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |