Celaya vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
36.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
NEC
1 - 0
TOR
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
ATS
0 - 1
TOR
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
TOR
0 - 2
CAÑ
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
LOB
1 - 1
TOR
38%
26%
37%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
TOR
2 - 2
ATS
32%
26%
42%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
NEC
1 - 0
TOR
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
QRO
2 - 0
NEC
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
MER
2 - 1
NEC
39%
28%
34%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
NEC
3 - 4
EST
49%
26%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
NEC
2 - 2
QRO
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |