Celaya vs Cancún analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
18.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
ATL
0 - 0
TOR
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2021 |
TOR
2 - 0
ZAC
35%
28%
38%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
CIM
2 - 2
TOR
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
TOR
2 - 1
SPT
55%
26%
20%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
TOR
1 - 1
TEM
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cancún
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
CFC
1 - 0
DOR
35%
28%
38%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2021 |
TAM
1 - 1
CFC
52%
27%
22%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2021 |
CFC
1 - 2
MOR
15%
25%
59%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
CFC
0 - 0
CIM
35%
28%
37%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2021 |
UAT
3 - 0
CFC
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |