Celaya vs Altamira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ALE
1 - 2
TOR
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
QRO
0 - 1
TOR
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 1
UDG
41%
27%
33%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 3
QRO
31%
26%
44%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
DEL
2 - 3
TOR
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Altamira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ALT
0 - 0
MER
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
ALT
1 - 3
MON
12%
20%
67%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
EST
1 - 0
ALT
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
MON
1 - 0
ALT
84%
11%
5%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ALT
1 - 1
AUR
39%
28%
34%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |