Celaya Premier vs Univ. Aut. de Hidalgo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Celaya Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CEL
0 - 0
PAT
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SEL
2 - 2
CEL
62%
20%
18%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CEL
0 - 0
MAL
26%
24%
51%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CUA
3 - 0
CEL
62%
21%
18%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CEL
1 - 1
CHI
42%
26%
32%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Aut. de Hidalgo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CAN
1 - 1
HID
77%
16%
8%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
PAT
0 - 0
HID
65%
21%
15%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
HID
0 - 2
SEL
26%
24%
50%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
MAL
3 - 1
HID
74%
16%
10%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
HID
1 - 0
CUA
21%
23%
56%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +3 |