Ceilândia vs Santa Maria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
CEI
1 - 0
PAR
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
BRA
0 - 0
CEI
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
CEI
0 - 1
LUV
21%
25%
55%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
BRA
0 - 3
CEI
32%
26%
41%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CEI
3 - 2
TAG
13%
18%
69%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 0
FOR
32%
25%
43%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 1
PAR
35%
24%
41%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
TAG
1 - 2
SAN
80%
15%
6%
|
36 | 63 | 27 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
DOM
1 - 1
SAN
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 2
BRA
17%
22%
61%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |