Ceilândia vs Paranoá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
23.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
BRA
5 - 0
CEI
63%
22%
15%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
CEI
0 - 6
GAM
11%
20%
69%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
CEI
0 - 2
DOM
26%
24%
51%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
SED
2 - 0
CEI
16%
19%
65%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | -3 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
CEI
1 - 0
PAR
41%
27%
33%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Paranoá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
PAR
0 - 4
DOM
15%
20%
64%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
SED
4 - 4
PAR
36%
22%
42%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 4
CAP
33%
23%
45%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
LUZ
1 - 0
PAR
60%
21%
19%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 0
PAR
57%
22%
21%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |