Ceilândia vs Paranoá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
18.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
BRA
3 - 1
CEI
73%
16%
10%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
CEI
1 - 2
GAM
34%
24%
42%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
PAR
0 - 2
CEI
36%
23%
41%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2005 |
CEI
3 - 3
BRA
24%
23%
53%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
GAM
2 - 3
CEI
74%
16%
10%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Paranoá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
GAM
2 - 2
PAR
77%
14%
9%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
PAR
1 - 0
BRA
15%
20%
65%
|
43 | 66 | 23 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
PAR
0 - 2
CEI
36%
23%
41%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2005 |
PAR
3 - 2
GAM
20%
23%
57%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
BRA
5 - 4
PAR
80%
14%
7%
|
43 | 66 | 23 | 0 |