Ceilândia vs Paracatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
23.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
GAM
1 - 0
CEI
48%
26%
27%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CEI
1 - 0
SOB
44%
24%
31%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
CEI
4 - 1
PAR
61%
22%
18%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
BFC
1 - 2
CEI
6%
14%
80%
|
48 | 9 | 39 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
CEI
2 - 3
AVA
12%
21%
67%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Paracatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
BRA
0 - 0
PAR
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 4
GAM
20%
22%
58%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 1
LUZ
46%
26%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
PAR
3 - 1
SAN
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2018 |
FOR
0 - 1
PAR
29%
24%
47%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |