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Brasiliense. Matchday 6

Ceilândia vs Paracatu analysis

Ceilândia Paracatu
32 ELO 46
28% Tilt -35%
3847º General ELO ranking 18521º
259º Country ELO ranking 506º
ELO win probability
56.5%
Ceilândia
25.4%
Draw
18.1%
Paracatu

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
Ceilândia
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
18.1%
Win probability
Paracatu
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%