Ceilândia vs Luziânia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+88%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
LEG
0 - 2
CEI
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
CEI
2 - 0
GAM
24%
22%
53%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
BRA
1 - 0
CEI
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
CEI
3 - 2
BDF
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
CEI
4 - 3
CFZ
61%
22%
18%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Luziânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
LUZ
1 - 0
BSE
56%
21%
23%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
BRA
5 - 1
LUZ
78%
15%
7%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
CEI
0 - 0
LUZ
66%
20%
14%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
LUZ
2 - 1
BDF
47%
24%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
LUZ
1 - 1
GAM
17%
21%
62%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | 0 |