Ceilândia vs Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
44.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+88%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 3
CEI
20%
23%
56%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 1
CEI
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CEI
3 - 0
PAR
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
CEI
1 - 3
CAP
70%
19%
12%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
SOB
2 - 2
CEI
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
GAM
1 - 0
LUZ
60%
24%
16%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SOB
0 - 2
GAM
41%
23%
36%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 0
GAM
17%
21%
62%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
GAM
2 - 1
SAN
74%
18%
9%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
LEG
1 - 1
GAM
18%
21%
61%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |