Ceilândia vs Formosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
38.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
SOB
1 - 3
CEI
52%
24%
24%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CEI
0 - 0
CEI
58%
21%
21%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
CAP
0 - 0
CEI
38%
24%
38%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
CEI
3 - 0
PAR
56%
21%
23%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
BRA
5 - 0
CEI
63%
22%
15%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
FOR
4 - 2
PAR
60%
21%
19%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SOB
2 - 2
FOR
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
FOR
0 - 3
TAG
14%
19%
68%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
FOR
2 - 0
CEI
58%
21%
21%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
LUZ
2 - 3
FOR
54%
24%
22%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |