Ceilândia vs Real Brasília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
28.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
BDF
1 - 1
CEI
32%
26%
42%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
CEI
0 - 3
BRA
20%
22%
58%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
GAM
1 - 2
CEI
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
CEI
0 - 1
BRA
33%
24%
42%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
LUZ
0 - 2
CEI
39%
26%
36%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
DOM
2 - 0
BRA
25%
23%
52%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
CEI
2 - 1
DOM
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
DOM
1 - 0
LUZ
68%
19%
13%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
BDF
0 - 0
DOM
27%
25%
48%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
DOM
3 - 3
GAM
26%
23%
52%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |