Ceilândia vs Cruzeiro DF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
CEI
0 - 0
SOB
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CEI
0 - 2
CEI
28%
25%
48%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
CEI
1 - 1
BRA
38%
26%
36%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
BRA
3 - 1
CEI
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CEI
0 - 1
GAM
30%
25%
44%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro DF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
CDF
2 - 3
BRA
15%
22%
63%
|
14 | 50 | 36 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CDF
0 - 3
SAN
24%
23%
53%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
SOB
0 - 0
CDF
83%
12%
6%
|
15 | 47 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
CDF
1 - 1
FOR
13%
19%
68%
|
12 | 43 | 31 | +3 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 0
CDF
78%
15%
8%
|
12 | 32 | 20 | 0 |