Ceilândia vs CFZ Rio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
9.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
PAR
0 - 3
CEI
43%
23%
34%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
DOM
0 - 2
CEI
52%
21%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
CEI
4 - 1
SOB
19%
22%
60%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | +2 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
BAN
1 - 4
CEI
31%
24%
45%
|
44 | 6 | 38 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
CFZ
1 - 1
CEI
25%
22%
53%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
CFZ Rio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
CFZ
4 - 0
BAN
77%
14%
9%
|
34 | 6 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
PAR
2 - 2
CFZ
70%
17%
13%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
CFZ
1 - 1
DOM
24%
22%
53%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
SOB
1 - 2
CFZ
86%
10%
4%
|
32 | 60 | 28 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
CFZ
1 - 1
CEI
25%
22%
53%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +1 |