Ceilândia vs Ceilandense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
17.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+64%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
CEI
2 - 0
BRA
44%
24%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 0
CEI
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 0
CEI
56%
24%
19%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
CEI
1 - 0
ARA
70%
19%
11%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
BDF
1 - 1
CEI
30%
27%
43%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ceilandense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
CEI
1 - 0
CFZ
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
GAM
1 - 1
CEI
74%
17%
9%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
GAM
1 - 1
CEI
75%
16%
9%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
BDF
1 - 0
CEI
39%
25%
35%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
CEI
2 - 1
CEI
36%
26%
38%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +3 |