Ceilândia vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
52.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
CEI
1 - 0
SOB
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CEI
0 - 2
CEI
11%
17%
72%
|
59 | 27 | 32 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
CEI
1 - 1
CAP
38%
24%
38%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
CEI
1 - 0
DOM
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CAP
0 - 0
CEI
33%
24%
43%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
BRA
3 - 0
LEG
79%
13%
8%
|
68 | 40 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
DOM
0 - 3
BRA
9%
17%
74%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
BRA
2 - 1
SAM
83%
11%
6%
|
67 | 33 | 34 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 0
RFC
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
RFC
1 - 0
BRA
39%
28%
33%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |