Ceilândia vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
57.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
COS
0 - 3
CEI
47%
27%
26%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
CEI
1 - 0
GRE
47%
27%
26%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
LTD
1 - 2
CEI
36%
27%
37%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
ACA
2 - 1
CEI
17%
22%
60%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | -2 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
CEI
0 - 1
BRA
25%
27%
48%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 1
BRA
49%
27%
25%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 1
VIL
31%
26%
44%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2022 |
CUI
0 - 3
BRA
73%
18%
9%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | +3 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
LUV
0 - 1
BRA
18%
24%
58%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 1
NVE
44%
28%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |