Ceilândia vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
42.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
CEI
15%
20%
65%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
CEI
3 - 0
PAR
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
GAM
1 - 0
CEI
48%
26%
27%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CEI
1 - 0
SOB
44%
24%
31%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
CEI
4 - 1
PAR
61%
22%
18%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
SOB
1 - 2
BRA
24%
23%
54%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
BRA
0 - 0
PAR
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 4
BRA
13%
20%
67%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
BRA
1 - 0
BFC
84%
12%
4%
|
54 | 8 | 46 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
BRA
3 - 0
PAR
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | +1 |